Democratic Debate Breakdown Podcast Ft. David Gaytan

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kdLCe_-CHDA&feature=youtu.be

Watch if you want my breakdown of the first Democratic debate for the 2020 Presidential Election

AOC is right, Ben Shapiro is wrong. We have Concentration Camps at the border

Check out my new podcast explaining this topic
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9yqRoCChQI

New Podcast

Check out my new podcast explaining the Green New Deal. If you really want to know what the Green New Deal is, you should give it a watch.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Hj7so_yIsk

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Green New Deal Explained Part 1

     The Green New Deal is a way of challenging the real threat of climate change while providing economic security to all Americans. First the Green New Deal is a resolution not a piece of legislation. Even if passed it has no power. Nothing will happen if it is passed. Its more of a wish list that says we should do this. It is meant to be built on with an actual plan. It in itself is just a guideline. This is part one of a two part series explaining the Green New Deal. This part breaks down what the Green New Deal actually does. Part two explains one report that breaks down the cost and the economic impact that the Green New Deal would actually have. To generalize what the Green New Deal does it makes the transition to 100% clean renewable energy in 10 years while providing the economic security and new jobs to workers during the transition. This is in the effort to save us from climate change and the extinction that follows it.

    Intro

 First it mentions the 2018 report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change findings. 

1. Human activity is the dominant cause of climate change
2. Climate change leads to rising sea levels, increase in wildfires, severe storms, droughts, and other extreme weather event that damage that can kill and destroy entire communities.  
3. That warming at or above 2 degrees Celsius will cause 

• Mass migration 
• 500 billion dollars lost in annual economic output by year 2100
• Wildfires that will burn twice as much forest area by 2500 in western USA
• A loss of more than 99% of all coral reefs
• 350 million people will be exposed to heat stress
• 1 trillion dollar of damage to infrastructure especially to coastal areas

      4. Global temperatures must remain lower than 1.5 degrees Celsius to avoid severe impacts of climate change

• Global reduction in greenhouse gases of 40 to 60 percent by 2030
• Net zero emissions by 2050

The resolution then says that the USA emits 20% of all emissions in the world. It calls for the USA to take a leading role with all its technology to solve this crisis. 

The resolution then mentions issues that the USA is facing. It quickly points out that life expectancy is declining while basic needs is not be given to a substantial parts of the population such as

1. clean air
2. clean water
3. healthy foods
4. healthcare
5. housing
6. transportation
7. education

It also talks about economic policies that have led to

1. wages to not grow since the 1970s even thought workers productivity growing
2. 3rd worst level of economic mobility or ability for someone to move up economic status even before the Great Recession
3. The slow destruction of wages and power of American workers
4. No where enough funding to face the real crisis of climate change at all levels of government

It also reports that we are also facing the biggest income inequality since the 1920s

1. We saw that the top 1% gained 91% of all new income after the Great Recession
2. A large racial wealth inequality with the average white family having 20 times more income than the average African American family.
3. A gender wage gap that leads to women earning about 80 cents for every dollar a man makes

The report then goes to report that climate change disproportionately  hurts indigenous peoples, communities of color, migrant communities, deindustrialized communities, depopulated rural communities, the poor, low-income workers, women, the elderly, the unhoused, people with disabilities, and youth.

Climate change is a direct threat to national security by 

1. by destroying the stability of our economy, environment, and our society
2. By multiplying all threats making them increasing more likely to happen and in a bigger scale

It therefore goes on to give the idea that we need to mobilize our economy and society as we did during WW2 and the New Deal which created the what is known as the greatest middle class the world has ever seen.

1. Calling that the GND (Green New Deal) would create millions of high wage jobs
2. Create prosperity and economic security for all Americans 
3. Fight against systematic injustices

Policy Ideas

1. It calls for us to reach net zero greenhouse gases emissions through a transition that protects our workers.
2. Create million of high wage jobs and create prosperity and economic security for all Americans
3. Invest in infrastructure to face the problem of this century
4. To secure the right to clean air and water, protection from climate change, healthy foods, access to nature, and a sustainable environment
5. Promote equity and justice by stopping current, preventing future, and repairing historic oppression of 

• indigenous peoples
• communities of color
• migrant communities
• deindustrialized communities
• depopulated rural communities
• the poor
• low-income workers 
• women
• the elderly
• the unhoused
• people with disabilities 
• youth.

      6. To create a 10 year mobilization that calls for

• To build resistance for extreme climate disasters by funding investments into our communities
• Upgrading and repairing our infrastructure by eliminating pollution and emissions as much as technologically possible, guaranteeing clean water access,  reducing risk of climate change, and meeting 100% energy demand through clean, renewable, zero emission energy sources

      7. Building a smart power grid to create energy efficiency and create access to affordable power to all Americans

    

  8. Upgrade all existing buildings in the USA and build new buildings to have maximum energy efficiencies

   

   9. Removing as much pollution as technology allows in the manufacturing industry and investing in clean manufacturing.

    

 10. Working with farmers and ranchers to remove as much as technologically possible from the agricultural sector

    

 11. Invest in family farming and sustainable farming

    

 12. Transforming our transportation system to remove as much pollution and emissions as technologically possible by investing in zero emission vehicle infrastructure, clean affordable public transit, and high speed rail

    

 13. Decreasing the effects of climate change and pollution in health, economic, and other effects through community projects

    

 14. Removing greenhouse gases from the atmosphere through proven low tech solutions that increase soil carbon storage, such as land preservation or afforestation (the process of creating a forest in area where one did not stand)

   

  15. Restoring and protecting threaten and endangered ecosystem using science to increase biodiversity and increase resistance to climate change

    

 16. Cleaning up hazardous waste and abandoned sites promoting economic development and sustainability in those places

   

 17. Identifying other pollution and emission and figuring out solutions to remove them

  

 18. Promoting international trade on green tech, making the USA the leader of green energy and helping other nations do their own GND

 19. The GND must be achieved with working with communities, labor unions, worker cooperatives, civil society groups, academia, and businesses

20. To achieve the GND it must make sure that all areas is given the funding, technical help, training, and all other needed assistance. That the federal government takes into account the cost of all existing and future programs related to the GND.

21. Provide the training and education to all Americans. Which would include free college.

22. Making investment into researching and developing new clean and renewable tech and industries

23. Using democratic processes to lead the charge to implement the GND in local areas

24. Create millions of high wage union jobs that are guaranteed jobs especially to those affected by the transition

25. Guaranteed family sustaining wage jobs to all Americans with family and medical leave, paid vacations, and retirement security.  

26.  Protect the right for workers to unionize and bargain without any abuse, harassment, or intimidation

27. Strengthen safety, antidiscrimination, wage, and hour standards.

28. Change trade rules to stop the transfer of American jobs oversea and grow domestic manufacturing

29. Protect public land, water, and oceans.

30. Get the consent of indigenous people for all matters that affect them and upheld all agreements with them 

31. Ensure that all business is free from unfair competition from monopolies

32. Provide all Americans with high quality healthcare (Medicare for All), affordable housing, economic security, clean water and air, healthy affordable food, and access to nature

The actual Green New Deal: https://www.congress.gov/116/bills/hres109/BILLS-116hres109ih.pdf

       

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Climate Change Apocalypse: 2050 Part 2

     This is the second part of an analysis of the report of the climate change report. You might need to read the first part to have a complete understanding of what the report is saying. I will also put a link to the actual report on the bottom of this post

     By 2050, We would have passed the point that the west Antarctic Ice Sheet and summer Arctic ice would have melt even before 1.5 degrees Celsius. We would have melted the Greenland ice before 2 degrees Celsius. We would lose large amount of permafrost and large scale of the Amazon having drought by the time we reach 2.5 degrees Celsius. By 2050, the sea level would raise by .5 meters and by 2100 by 2 or 3 meters but figures show it will eventually raise by 25 or more meters. We will also have 35% of the earth land area have more than 20 days a year where it would be too hot to have humans living there. That would leave 55% of the human population living in area that one day may be uninhabitable.

     We have also seen the Jet Stream be destabilize. This has caused monsoons in Asia and west African will change it's intensity and it's distribution. It also slowed down the Gulf Stream which Europe depends on as a life support system. North America is suffering extreme weather events including wildfires, heatwaves, drought and floods. Asia has loss a large amount of water in it's rivers because of glacier loss in Himalayas. Glaciers loss in the Andes has reached 70%. Central America and Mexico has it's rain fall cut by half. 30% of the earth land will become extremely dry or Aridification. Deserfication or the process of fertile land becoming desert will become intense in southern Africa, the southern Mediterranean, west Asia, the Middle East, inland Australia and across the south-western United States These are all examples of Climate Change impacts that will become more intense especially by 2050.

     The report says some of the impacts of climate change. First it says that there will be a number of ecosystem will crumble. This includes the Amazon rain forest and the Arctic. Mind you the Amazon rain forest is known as the lungs of the earth. This is extremely important to sustain live on earth. Any country that can not afford to give air conditioning will become unlivable. Deadly heat conditions will last more than 100 days in West Africa, tropical South America, the Middle East and South-East Asia. This would make more than a billion people to move or die. This would cause mas migrations or mass death. There would be also large amount of water shortages affecting 2 billion people. Most places in the world would see large amount of food loss and extreme weather events. We would not be able to feed the entire population of the planet and food prices will probably skyrocket. We will see a 20% of decline of crop yield. In the end just 2 degrees would make at least 1 billion people. The report saying that the destruction is beyond that is possible to scale but enough to end human civilization.

    The report also gives some policy recommendation that I will go through. First we have to recognize the limits of climate research and how its not showing the real destruction that climate change can cause. Using that info we need to adopt one of those scenarios and built policy and defense using those scenarios. Then we have to change our infrastructure and economy to built a zero emission infrastructure and economy. To do so we need an emergency mobilization of our labor and resources to protect our civilization in the scale of world war 2. This sounds to me like somewhat like the Green New Deal.

     In the end of the day we are facing an extinction level crisis that every year a scientist saying that they were wrong in the previous year its actually worse than we thought. That's why need an emergency mobilization of our infrastructure to create a zero emission economy as fast as possible. Some plans say 2050 but I'm a big supporter of pushing for 2030 because the sooner the better so we can cut emissions as fast as possible to stop the destruction of our planet and our civilization because this will affect me and my friends. The end of the day no matter political party or believe climate change should be the biggest issue in the 2020 election. We need to solve this problem before it's too late.

https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/148cb0_a1406e0143ac4c469196d3003bc1e687.pdf

Climate Change Apocalypse: 2050 Part 1

We have till 2050 before it's too late

Climate Change

      A new report by a think tank stating that we can start seeing some of the worst effect of climate change by 2050. Before I even start, I have to ask the question why aren't all news organizations talking about this till their blue in the face. Why are we wasting all this time about Trump if we are looking down a barrel of a loaded gun? Why do we pretend that climate change is not a real thing? If Russia said tomorrow that they will drop nuclear bomb on us and 98 of the top generals and military experts said that its a real threat what would you do if the president said it was a fake news. 

      

      Moving on to the report, it finds that we might see some of the worst effects of climate change as early as 2050. One quote that sticks out is "a disturbing picture of the real possibility that human life on earth may be on the way to extinction, in the most horrible way". The report quickly saying this on the first page calling climate change is the greatest threat to not only human civilization but life in general only after nuclear war. The report quickly calls for strong leaders in government and radical action to stop this threat from reaching us.

     One of the scary ideas that the report states is that most of the climate reports are downplayed to not cause panic. They even show that in 2007 that every climate report beforehand had been downplayed to what really happened. Leading to the idea that even today our climate report might be downplayed to what really will happen to not cause panic. They point two different times that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) drastically downplayed their findings as quick example of how bad they downplay their findings. The report says that we probably reach the 1.5 degrees Celsius boundary by 2030 instead of 2040 and reach 2 degrees Celsius by 2045. It also points out the fact that we probably reach 5 degrees Celsius by 2100 even with the Paris climate agreement. We probably start seeing the destructive nature of 3 degrees Celsius sometime in the 2050's. While 4 degree will be destructive to entire ecosystem and completely unstable to life on Earth.

With that information i will tell you the reports scenarios for the next 30 years. If we fail to act on this information between 2020 through 2030 we will for sure reach 3 degrees in the future. We should use this time to start a zero emission economy. Warming probably reach 1.6 degrees Celsius by 2030. Between 2030 and 2050 emissions will probably start to fall by 80% but at that point it will be too late. At minimum we will reach 2.4 degrees but there is a possibility that we will reach 3 degrees. There is even a 5 percent chance we can reach 3.5 to 4 degrees warming.

The rest of this article would be posted in the second part of this article

Here is a link to anyone who wants to read it for themselves

https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/148cb0_a1406e0143ac4c469196d3003bc1e687.pdf